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\nMr.JimRogers(\u5409\u59c6•\u7f57\u6770\u65af)1942\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4e8e\u7f8e\u56fd\u4e9a\u62c9\u5df4\u9a6c\u5dde\uff1b1964\u5e74\u6bd5\u4e1a\u4e8e\u8036\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\u30021964\u5e74\u52301966\u5e74\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5c31\u8bfb\u4e8e\u725b\u6d25\u5927\u5b66\u3002 \u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5148\u751f\uff08Mr.JimRogers\uff09\u662f\u56fd\u9645\u8457\u540d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5bb6\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3002\u66fe\u88abJonTrain\u2019sMoneyMastersofOurTime,JackSchwager\u2019sMarketWizards\u7b49\u8457\u540d\u5e74\u9274\u6536\u5f55\u3002\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u8fd8\u662f\u65f6\u4ee3\uff08Time\uff09\u3001\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\uff08TheWashingtonPost\uff09\u3001\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\uff08TheNewYorkTimes\uff09\u3001\u5df4\u9f99\uff08Barron\u2019s\uff09\u3001\u798f\u5e03\u65af\uff08Forbes\uff09\u3001\u8d22\u5bcc\uff08Fortune\uff09\u3001\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5\uff08TheWallStreetJournal\uff09\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u65f6\u62a5\uff08TheFinancialTimes\uff09\u957f\u671f\u64b0\u7a3f\u4eba\u3002
1970\u5e74\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e0e\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u5171\u540c\u521b\u7acb\u4e86\u91cf\u5b50\u57fa\u91d1\uff0c\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u4ee4\u4eba\u77a9\u76ee\u7684\u6210\u7ee9\u30021980\u5e74\u79bb\u5f00\u91cf\u5b50\u57fa\u91d1\u540e\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5728\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u8bb2\u5b66\uff0c\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\u542c\u5b8c\u540e\u62cd\u624b\u53eb\u597d\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5bf9\u5e02\u573a\u5927\u8d8b\u52bf\u7684\u628a\u63e1\u65e0\u4eba\u80fd\u53ca\u3002\u4ed6\u57281989-1990\u5e74\u5b8c\u6210\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u73af\u7403\u65c5\u884c\u88ab\u5409\u5c3c\u65af\u4e16\u754c\u8bb0\u5f55\u8bb0\u8f7d\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56fd\u9645\u8457\u540d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u5bb6\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5148\u540e\u6295\u8d44\u897f\u5fb7\u3001\u5965\u5730\u5229\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u7b49\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\u30021989\u5e74\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u73af\u7403\u65c5\u884c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u4e8e\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u4e2a\u65b0\u5174\u56fd\u5bb6\u30021998\u5e74\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u521b\u7acb\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u56fd\u9645\u5546\u54c1\u6307\u6570\uff08RICI\uff09\uff0c\u52302003\u5e7411\u6708\u8be5\u6307\u6570\u5df2\u8fbe117.46%\u7684\u5347\u5e45\uff0c\u8d85\u8fc7\u540c\u671f\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u6570\u30021999\u5e74\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u73af\u7403\u65c5\u884c\u65f6\uff0c\u6295\u8d44\u4e0a\u6d77B\u80a1\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u83b7\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\u3002\u65f6\u4ee3\uff08Time\uff09\u79f0\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e3a\u91d1\u878d\u754c\u7684\u5370\u5730\u5b89\u90a3•\u743c\u65af\uff08theIndianaJonesoffinance\uff09\u3002
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1980\u5e74\uff0c37\u5c81\u7684\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e0e\u7d22\u7f57\u65af\u5206\u9053\u626c\u9573\uff0c\u201c\u4ee5\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6295\u8d44\u201d\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u4ed6\u8ba9\u4eba\u76ee\u7729\u795e\u8ff7\u7684\u72ec\u7acb\u6295\u8d44\u4eba\u751f\u6daf\u3002\u4ece\u8461\u8404\u7259\u3001\u5965\u5730\u5229\u3001\u5fb7\u56fd\uff0c\u5230\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u3001\u5df4\u897f\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u201c\u628a\u8d4c\u6ce8\u62bc\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e0a\u201d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u98ce\u683c\u4f53\u73b0\u5f97\u6dcb\u6f13\u5c3d\u81f4\u30021990\u5e743\u6708\u4efd\u5f00\u59cb\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5386\u65f622\u6708\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u521b\u5409\u5c3c\u65af\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u201c\u73af\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u4e4b\u65c5\u201d\uff0c\u8db3\u8ff9\u904d\u53ca\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5185\u768450\u591a\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff1b1999\u5e741\u67081\u8d77\uff0c\u4ed6\u53c8\u5386\u65f63\u5e74\uff0c\u5f00\u59cb\u4e86\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u201c\u73af\u7403\u6295\u8d44\u4e4b\u65c5\u201d\uff0c\u7a7f\u8d8a\u4e86116\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u884c\u7a0b24\u4e07\u516c\u91cc\u3002
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1982\u5e74\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u5f00\u59cb\u5206\u6279\u4e70\u5165\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u7968\uff0c1985\u5e74\u4e0e1986\u5e74\u5206\u6279\u5356\u51fa\uff0c\u83b7\u5f973\u500d\u5229\u6da6\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u60c5\u51b5\u662f\u4ece1961\u5e74\u4e00\u76f4\u52301982\u5e748\u6708\uff0c\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u5e02\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u51fa\u73b0\u8fc7\u591a\u5934\u5e02\u573a\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u65e0\u89c6\u8fd921\u5e74\u6765\u897f\u5fb7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u84ec\u52c3\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u786e\u8ba4\uff0c\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u5e02\u5df2\u7ecf\u5177\u5907\u4ecb\u5165\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6295\u8d44\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u8bdd\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u786e\u4fdd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4e8f\u635f\u3002\u5728\u786e\u8ba4\u603b\u4f53\u5177\u5907\u6295\u8d44\u4ef7\u503c\u4ee5\u540e\uff0c\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u4e5f\u627e\u5230\u4e86\u5f53\u65f6\u7684\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u5e02\u817e\u98de\u7684\u5951\u673a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4fbf\u662f\u897f\u5fb7\u5927\u9009\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u5728\u57fa\u7763\u6559\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u8d62\u5f97\u5927\u9009\u7684\u5f53\u5929\uff0c\u897f\u5fb7\u80a1\u5e02\u5c31\u544a\u5927\u6da8\u3002\u7f57\u6770\u65af\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u529f\u3002
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